New Date to Watch for Audacy

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  • The trouble that’s brewing while Audacy waits for FCC approval of their bankruptcy plan.
  • What could go wrong.
  • If the bankruptcy isn’t approved by this date, all bets are off.
  • The stumbling block to what usually is a fast process to exit bankruptcy.

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Old Folks Radio

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  • The first music radio FM format built today specifically for older audiences.
  • And it’s number 5 in the latest Nielsen’s (6+).
  • How they make it economically viable.
  • Here’s how to buy another 10-20 years of longevity even in the digital age.

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How Cumulus Blew $100 Million

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  • Yes, they walked away from a return on investment that would have been worth the current total value of Cumulus – here’s how.
  • The internal fighting that tried to stop the CEO and board chair from walking away from a huge pay day.
  • Why they fought so hard to unload a money machine.
  • And how their stock price would be double what it is today if not for this one crucial mistake.

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Underlying Soros Fears

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  • The real reason Soros Foundation controlling Audacy worries almost everyone.
  • Their big plans to roll up several radio groups – should competitors be worried?
  • The prospect of Soros hiring a heavyweight radio executive to take over from David Field.
  • Is the Soros strategy a build-and-run or stay-and-play?

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See you after Memorial Day –  And, as always, thanks for your support!

EMF CEO Out – Why?

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  • Is it a signal that EMF is done buying commercial stations on the cheap?
  • Financial troubles?
  • The profitability of EMF stations in attracting donations.
  • What this means for commercial broadcasters who only have EMF as a potential buyer.

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The Vanishing Market Manager

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  • Why market managers are increasingly being fired and eliminated while survivors are being forced to do what they know is wrong.
  • Coming soon: private equity radio owner’s “better idea”.
  • Outrageous duties now being forced upon market managers hampering their ability to maximize revenue.
  • How this management shortfall is starting to trickle down to sales managers.
  • An honest generic want ad for today’s market manager that is hard to argue with.

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Lew Dickey vs. Mary Berner

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  • How Mary Berner ousted Lew Dickey to drive Cumulus into bankruptcy.
  • The person to blame for putting Berner in as CEO where she has presided over a 70% decline in earnings.
  • Future battles: a suitor looking to buy stock while it is so cheap.
  • A potential hostile takeover.
  • Where Soros comes in to Cumulus’ future.

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Slumping iHeart Radio Revenue

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  • Sales shortcuts revealed.
  • Advertisers pinpoint the radio sales problem stations are ignoring.
  • Their biggest complaint unthinkable even a few years ago (and it’s not rate).
  • This is the radio group that had it right and their bottom line reflected it.

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Why Can’t Anyone Make Money in Radio

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  • The self-inflicted wounds that go deeper than constant layoffs.
  • 7 things that – if fixed – would guarantee revenue growth, no question.
  • How the pressure to generate digital over on-air sales is tracking.
  • The radio groups that cannot be fixed.
  • What to do with digital and podcasting.

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When Beasley Will File for Bankruptcy

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  • Take out your calculator, based on the Cumulus and Audacy bankruptcies that proceeded Beasley, here’s what could extend their lifeline or abruptly throw them into bankruptcy sooner.
  • The efficacy of a potential reverse stock split that they are considering,
  • The one telltale move to watch for – when Beasley does this, no question they’re going down.
  • How long before Beasley initiates another round of deep layoffs like last week.
  • Why they are firing programming and content people above others.
  • My calculation of “B” date (so far, we’ve called 3 radio bankruptcies scarily on target).

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SiriusXM Hits the Wall

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  • The mostly ad-free subscription model is in freefall -- their urgent attempts to win them back.
  • There is no replacement for Howard Stern as they allude to – what’s ahead without Stern looks different than the company is saying.
  • Fewer paid subscriptions and more advertising – the chances of that happening.
  • Why their digital bet on Pandora has still not paid off.
  • How they plan to stem the radio subscription losses with an unproven product.

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The Cumulus Compensation Ploy

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  • May 2nd Cumulus had their annual shareholders meeting and they were not talking about what their angry investors did.
  • They approved one thing – their account firm.
  • When asked to re-elect their board of directors, a surprising and resounding outcome.
  • The company is still laying employees off and shrinking operations so when they asked shareholders to show a financial vote of confidence in them, an even greater surprise.
  • What’s really going on here – a questionable debt exchange deal, a second bankruptcy and a growing rift between investors and their top management.

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What a Soros-owned Audacy Means

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  • Is influence or investment driving the Soros purchase of Audacy?
  • Where Cumulus stands in all of this – yes, Cumulus.
  • It isn’t just bankrupt companies Soros is after: The prime radio group they are eyeing as part of a three-group rollup.
  • What has conservatives worried about the Soros deal beyond political clout.
  • A person and a company to watch under the radar in this rollup.

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Shareholder Rebuke of Cumulus

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  • Cumulus has upped their offer and delivered the needed support to do a debt exchange that buys them more time, but there is a big downside.
  • Shareholders are in ill humor as they recently rebuked the company, its CEO and c-suite executives – here’s what Cumulus had to admit to the government.
  • Cumulus gets a few more years, debt holders get a higher payout but it’s their next move that matters most.
  • The best outcome that can be expected from this lopsided debt exchange.
  • How both equity and debt investors are likely to get screwed by Cumulus.

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Religion as the New Hit Radio

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  • Why EMF’s successful model is being overlooked by commercial stations.
  • Salem’s increasingly irrelevant religious programming.
  • How to borrow from the EMF model.
  • And 3 innovative ways to monetize it (not currently being done on a non-com).
  • How to be EMF but with on-air revenue.

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