The Cumulus/Citadel Marriage Made in Hell

So Lew Dickey sweetens the pot and offers Farid Suleman what is effectively $37 a share instead of $31 and suddenly everyone assumes that these two toxic companies wind up as one – in debtors heaven.

Not so fast.

You can believe what you read if you want or you can consider what I am about to share with you and then decide.

This article will reveal the untold story of what is going on behind the scenes in this merger:

1.  Farid Suleman’s back room strategy to blow up the latest Lew Dickey attempt to steal his company.  All the latest details.

2.  Why the news of Dickey’s latest offer was leaked to Radio Ink, a friend of Farid Suleman.  Why I think it was done on purpose and I’ll tell you my reasoning.  Plus who I think leaked it.

3.  Evidence of Farid Suleman’s reluctance to sell and why he appears to be playing along with this second Dickey attempt to make him unemployed.

4.  What happens to Fagreed if Dickey wins?

5.  Why Citadel is attractive and why Fagreed Suleman himself may have accidently left the door open for archenemy Lew Dickey to steal his company.  I’ll tell Suleman’s costly miscalculation.

6.  The thing that could actually blow up the Cumulus takeover if it ever happens – something out of the control of Lew Dickey.

7.  Why a Cumulus/Citadel merger is a rotten deal for radio, local cities, employees, shareholders – need I go on.  We know that already perhaps. But it’s a great deal for someone – and that someone is not even Lew Dickey.  In this piece I’ll tell you who comes away the big winner if this marriage gets consummated.

8.  Details on the poison pill Fagreed established after Dickey’s first attempt to takeover Citadel.  It’s unbelievable and it’s brilliant in a sick kind of way.

9.  Can the Cumulus takeover of Citadel get done?  I’ll go on the record here.

10.  Could it get scuttled?  I’ll tell you what I know.

11. What other major radio group is said to be interested in fighting Lew Dickey for Citadel.  Read it here.

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Hot Media Issues

There is a lot heating up in the media business currently.  

BORDERS

Is the book chain’s failure a precursor of the toll the digital revolution will take on brick and mortar bookstores?  There is something else important that the bankruptcy of Borders is screaming out at you and we’ll nail it down here.

STREAMING TV

Big network executives are throwing cold water on the efforts of video websites to allow replay of their TV programs.  Many prefer to keep them in-house and display them on their own websites.  But streaming TV just may be the hottest consumer category out there right now.  The mistakes you don’t want to make.

WARNER/EMI

What’s more important or significant than the sale of EMI or Warner Music Group. 

FACEBOOK, TWITTER AND EGYPT

Did the Facebook revolution cause the Egyptian uprising?  Really?  Why few have made sense of social networking’s real role in today’s world and why consumers are the same as downtrodden people under dictatorships.  I’ll explain.

MUSIC PIRACY

Something critical is going on right now in music piracy that will change everything.

This article is about what is really behind some of the emerging hot media trends in the past month and what we can learn from them.

If you would like to read this story, have access to my entire archive (over 1,100 pieces) and get the next month of my writing included, click “read more” for your choices. 

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Why Would Anyone Buy Warner Music Group Now

In this article, you’ll get deep background on what is really going on with the record labels and predictions about which labels will be sold and how consumer changes may make all that activity moot.

There are 10 predictions plus 3 changes in consumer behavior that will impact the music industry

A sampling  …

1.  Will anyone buy Warner Music Group and what will happen if they do?

2.  In light of the fact that Warner is for sale, what does that mean for EMI which is also rushing to sell?  Here is what I think will be the timeline.

3.  The back-story – finagling being done by Warner because it knows EMI has to be sold and why all Warner’s maneuvers may blow up in their face.

4.  I have a critical prediction about illegal music downloading that will surprise you.

5.  Three changes in consumer behavior that are not to be ignored.  One has to do with lifestyle.  Another with piracy and the third about radio.

This article is about what is really behind the inevitable sale of EMI and probable sale of Warner assets and what it will mean to the music industry.

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The Future of Radio

So much is happening in the media business right now. 

Pandora and Facebook are getting IPOs.  Both will affect terrestrial radio and the record industry.

Social networking has not only fueled a revolution in the music and media business but helped spread the word for democracy in Tunisia and Egypt.

Electronic products were selling like hotcakes right through that miserable recession we hope we’re done with.  So I thought you’d like to know what I am seeing specifically for the radio industry in the year ahead.

This piece focuses on …

1.  Consolidation – Did the Bonneville sale of 17 stations to Hubbard pave the way for more contraction.  It’s kind of interesting and not what you may think. I’ll get specific.

2.  The Cumulus Citadel takeover – is it possible?  Is it good?  What happens to radio either way?

3.  Local sales – This is the most important prediction I can make because the world of local sales is being pressured by online operators like Groupon and the proliferation of social networking sites.  I’ll tell you how much money Pandora is taking away from radio in its first year accepting local advertising.  You’ll want to sit down first.  I also have a solution that very few companies are using to bolster local sales but the ones that are using it are bolstering local sales.

4.  Morning shows – This year something major is going to happen with regard to local and live radio shows.  One way or the other, things will change.  Here’s the blueprint.

5.  Employment security – Are the layoffs over?  If not, which radio companies still have firing in their future.

6.  Social networking – What radio does not understand about social networking and what they had better learn soon.

7.  Online streaming of terrestrial radio – The missing link, the one thing radio streamers still don’t get.

This article is about the evolving trends that are being observed now that will have a direct affect on the future of radio.

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Pandora IPO Targets Radio

If the Pandora IPO announced last Friday doesn’t scare you, think about Facebook, Groupon, iTunes and Twitter because all of these companies are in the process of becoming powerful competitors to radio stations and record labels even as soon as the next 12 months.

Here’s what this article predicts:

1.  What Pandora, fresh from its new $100 million IPO along with Facebook and Groupon – all hunting for investment capital will do next that is sure to catch terrestrial broadcasters asleep at their transmitters.  Ignore them at your own risk.

2.  What Pandora will do with the $100 million.  Hint:  It won’t be paying music royalties.

3.  While radio is trying to sell local advertising – and while local advertising is going to improve for radio this year – you won’t want to celebrate until you read what Pandora and these few powerful mobile websites will target that will change everything.

4.  The unintended consequences of consolidators in the radio and record industries cutting too deeply into the bone.  How these industries allowed a handful of powerful competitors to emerge and to this day, they don’t see the real threat ahead.

5.  I’ll name the specific things that Pandora and others are now targeting in terrestrial radio that at the very least will cut into profits and at the most redefine a struggling industry.

This article lends insight to radio’s real competitors – the few, the proud and the financially well endowed – in ways that could not be previously imagined.

If you would like to read this story, have access to my entire archive (over 1,100 pieces) and get the next month of my writing included, click “read more” for your choices. 

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